Esportswith Captain Quackquake · a LuckyQuack site

Esports Arbitrage Calculator

Free esports arbitrage (surebet) calculator: enter the best odds for each team at different sportsbooks to split your stake and see any guaranteed profit.

Arbitrage calculator

Back both teams and still profit?

Enter the best odds for each outcome, each from a different sportsbook, and your total stake. Add a draw for three-way markets.

Combined implied96.40%
Stake on A$49.40
Stake on B$50.60
Guaranteed profit$3.73
Under 100% — an arbitrage, returning 3.73% on your stake. Check that both books settle the market the same way (overtime, forfeits, map count) and accept your bets at these prices.

How to use the arbitrage calculator

  1. Enter the best odds for Team A at one sportsbook and the best odds for Team B at another. Any format works.
  2. For three-way markets — a Bo2 that can end 1–1 — add the draw odds too.
  3. Enter your total stake.

You'll see the combined implied chance, how much to stake on each outcome and the guaranteed profit (or loss).

Example

A Valorant match: Book 1 offers Team A at 2.10, Book 2 offers Team B at 2.05. Total stake $100:

Team A (2.10)Team B (2.05)Total
Implied chance47.62%48.78%96.40%
Stake$49.40$50.60$100.00
Return if it wins$103.73$103.73

Whoever wins, you get back $103.73: a $3.73 profit, or 3.73% on your stake.

When is it an arbitrage?

Odds AOdds BCombinedResult on $100
2.102.0596.40%+$3.73
2.102.1095.24%+$5.00
2.002.00100.00%$0.00
1.951.95102.56%−$2.50

The normal case is over 100%: that's just the combined bookmaker margin. Measure a single book's margin with the margin calculator.

Esports-specific traps

  • Settlement rules: one book may settle on the series including overtime, another may void the bet if a team forfeits or plays with a stand-in. Read both rule pages.
  • Map vs match markets: "Map 1 winner" and "Match winner" are different markets — never mix them in one arbitrage.
  • Fast-moving lines: esports odds jump on roster news, and live odds change between rounds. Place first the bet most likely to move or be limited.
  • Limits: stake limits on esports markets are often low, especially in smaller leagues.

Example: a CS2 map winner

Two sportsbooks disagree on a CS2 map. Book A offers 1.95 on Team 1 and Book B offers 2.10 on Team 2. You have $200.

Value
Combined implied chance51.28% + 47.62% = 98.90%
Stake on Team 1 (Book A)$103.70
Stake on Team 2 (Book B)$96.30
Return whichever wins$202.22
Guaranteed profit$2.22 (1.1%)

That is a tiny margin, and typical for real arbitrage. Esports lines move quickly, and map markets can close between rounds or after a pistol round, so the second bet is the risky one: place the bet most likely to move first and check each book's limits.

Because the margin is small, one voided bet, a rule difference or a stake limit can turn the profit into a loss. See the traps above before you try it with real money.

Before you start, check whether esports betting is legal where you live. To protect a winning bet instead of arbitraging from scratch, see the hedge calculator.

Esports Arbitrage Calculator, illustrated by LuckyQuack

Esports Arbitrage Calculator FAQ

What is an esports arbitrage bet?

Backing every outcome of a match at different sportsbooks, at odds high enough that you profit whoever wins. It happens when books disagree on a price.

How do I know if an arbitrage exists?

Add up 1 ÷ odds for every outcome. Under 100% means an arbitrage; the further under, the bigger the profit. 2.10 and 2.05 give 96.40%.

How do I split my stake?

Stake on each outcome = total stake × (1 ÷ its odds) ÷ the combined total. That makes every outcome return the same amount.

Is arbitrage betting legal?

Placing bets at licensed sportsbooks is legal where esports betting is legal, but sportsbooks don't like arbitrage and may limit or close accounts that do it regularly. Check whether esports betting is legal where you live first.

What can go wrong?

Odds moving before your second bet is placed, a bet being voided as an obvious error, stake limits, or the two books settling the market differently (forfeits, overtime, stand-ins). Any of these can turn a sure profit into a loss.