Prediction Marketswith Professor Quackstradamus · a LuckyQuack site

Prediction Market Price to Odds Converter

Convert prediction market prices in cents to implied probability, decimal, American and fractional odds, and compare Kalshi prices with sportsbook lines.

Price ↔ odds converter

What does this price mean?

Turn a contract price in cents into probability, decimal, American and fractional odds.

Implied chance62%
Decimal1.61
American−163
Fractional19/31

How to use the converter

Move the slider to the contract price in cents. You'll see the implied probability and the equivalent decimal, American and fractional odds.

Conversion table

PriceImplied chanceDecimalAmericanFractional
10¢10%10.00+9009/1
20¢20%5.00+4004/1
40¢40%2.50+1503/2
50¢50%2.00+100evens
60¢60%1.67 (exactly 1.666…)−1502/3
75¢75%1.33−3001/3
90¢90%1.11−9001/9

All figures are before fees. Fractions are shown in lowest terms (UK bookmakers traditionally write 3/2 as 6/4 and 2/3 as 4/6). At 50¢ a contract is even money only before costs: add the trading fee and the real price is slightly worse.

Comparing with a sportsbook

A sportsbook line of −110 implies 52.38%. If the same side trades at 51¢ on an exchange, that's about −104 before fees. Whether it's actually cheaper depends on the fee: at 51¢ + 1¢ (52¢) it still beats −110, but at 51¢ + Kalshi's ~1.75¢ taker fee (about 52.75¢) it costs more. That's the core of our prediction markets vs sportsbooks guide.

Going the other way, from sportsbook odds to probabilities? Use our sports odds converter. For what a trade pays, try the contract calculator, and read implied probability for the theory.

Prediction Market Price to Odds Converter, illustrated by LuckyQuack

Prediction Market Price to Odds Converter FAQ

How do I convert a Kalshi price to American odds?

For prices under 50¢: +((100 − price) ÷ price × 100). For prices over 50¢: −(price ÷ (100 − price) × 100). So 40¢ is +150 and 75¢ is −300.

How do I convert cents to decimal odds?

Divide 100 by the price in cents. 40¢ is 2.50; 80¢ is 1.25.

Why compare prediction market prices with sportsbook odds?

To find the better deal. Sportsbook odds include a margin (vig); prediction market prices have a visible fee instead. Converting both to the same format shows which pays more.

Does the converter include fees?

No. Add fees separately — they lower your effective payout slightly.