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Prediction Markets review

Polymarket Review

By Professor Quackstradamus · Updated · Fact-checked
8.5 out of 10
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The short version

Professor Quackstradamus
Professor Quackstradamus’s verdict

“If you want to know what the world thinks will happen next, you check Polymarket. The US app finally makes it legal and simple for Americans — as long as your state isn't fighting it.”

Min. depositNo published minimum
Payout speedBank or card withdrawals in a few business days (US app)
Best forPolitics and world events
US operatorQCX LLC (Polymarket US)
Regulator (US)CFTC designated contract market
Founded2020 (US app open to all from May 2026)
Min. age18+ (US app)
US taker fee0.0695 × C × P × (1 − P) since 7 Oct 2026 (max ~1.74¢/contract); maker rebate
Funding (US)ACH, debit/credit card, Apple Pay

Where it’s available: Polymarket US (iOS app) is open to US users 18+ in most states, but not in places where states have sued or blocked it — in October 2026 that included Nevada, Michigan, Maryland, Tennessee, Connecticut and others. The international site (crypto-based) is not available to US residents and is blocked in several other countries too.

What we like

Among the deepest political and world-news markets, by widely reported volume
Price-based taker fees on the US app, with rebates for makers
Prices quoted by the media — a genuine real-time probability source
US app is regulated by the CFTC through QCX LLC

Watch out for

Two separate products (US app vs global crypto site) can confuse new users
US app launched iOS-first; Android access was still rolling out and desktop trading limited in October 2026
Unavailable in more states than Kalshi
Resolution on the global site relies on a crypto oracle, which has produced disputes

Score breakdown

Fees
8.5
Liquidity
9.5
Settlement
8.0
Regulation
8.0
Tools & app
8.0

The overall score is the weighted average of these five criteria. See the weights.

Bonus terms, in plain English

Welcome offer: US app: deposit offers via partner codes (e.g. deposit $10, get $25 trading credit)

Polymarket US promotions run mostly through partner codes. In October 2026 a typical one was "deposit $10, get $25 in trading credit". Credits normally have to be used for trading and can't be withdrawn directly. The international site doesn't usually run sign-up bonuses.

Bonuses are small compared with what you'll pay or save in fees and spreads over time — check our prediction market fees comparison.

Polymarket is the prediction market most people have heard of — the one whose odds get quoted on cable news during elections. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, it grew on the crypto blockchain outside the US, was fined by the CFTC in 2022 and blocked Americans for years. In July 2025 it bought QCX LLC, a CFTC-licensed exchange, for $112 million, and rebuilt itself as Polymarket US. After a long waitlist, the US iOS app opened to everyone in May 2026.[1]

That history means there are really two Polymarkets. This review covers both, with a focus on the US app.

Polymarket US vs the international site

Polymarket USPolymarket (international)
Who can use itUS residents 18+, most statesNon-US users where permitted
RegulatorCFTC (designated contract market)Not CFTC-regulated
MoneyUS dollarsUSDC stablecoin on Polygon
FundingACH, card, Apple PayCrypto wallet or card-to-crypto
PlatformsiOS appWeb and mobile web
ResolutionExchange rules filed with the CFTCUMA crypto oracle

If you're in the US, only use the US app. Using a VPN to reach the international site breaks its terms and leaves you without any regulatory protection.

Markets and liquidity

Polymarket's speciality is politics and world events: elections everywhere, wars and ceasefires, central banks, court cases, tech launches, celebrity news. It's also big in crypto and sports, and it was early to quirky video game and entertainment markets.

Liquidity on the headline political markets is among the deepest anywhere — millions of dollars sit in some order books (we haven't measured order-book depth ourselves). Polymarket US overtook Crypto.com in March 2026 to become the second-largest CFTC-regulated prediction market, behind Kalshi.[1] The US app's catalogue is smaller than the international one, but growing quickly, and the 2026 midterms are its biggest test yet.

Fees

Polymarket built its reputation on being nearly free, but that's no longer the whole story. Since 7 October 2026 the US app's standard taker fee is 0.0695 × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded to the nearest cent — $1.74 on 100 contracts at 50¢, practically the same as Kalshi's $1.75. Table tennis markets use a higher 0.10 coefficient, combos have their own curve, and makers earn a rebate (0.0125 on the same formula).[2] Before 7 October the coefficient was 0.05, so older articles quote lower numbers.

The international site has a separate, category-based schedule: in mid-2026 most categories charged takers between 0.04 and 0.07 on the same price formula, with geopolitics markets fee-free. Fee schedules change, so check the fee screen before you trade. Our fee calculator guide compares every major platform side by side.

Settlement and resolution

On Polymarket US, markets settle under rules filed with the CFTC, much like Kalshi.

On the international site, outcomes are confirmed by UMA's optimistic oracle: anyone can propose a result, others can dispute it, and disputes go to a vote of UMA token holders. It usually works, but there have been well-publicised arguments over ambiguous wording and accusations that large token holders could sway votes. That's one reason we score Polymarket's settlement lower than Kalshi's. Our guide to prediction market resolution explains how to spot risky wording.

Deposits and withdrawals

US app depositsACH bank transfer, debit/credit card, Apple Pay
US app withdrawalsBank transfer and card, usually a few business days
InternationalUSDC on Polygon; card purchases through third-party crypto on-ramps
Minimum depositNone published; promotions may need $10+

App and tools

The Polymarket US app is clean and fast, with charts, the order book, limit orders and a news-style feed that makes browsing fun. The catch is reach: it launched on iOS first; in autumn 2026 Android access was still rolling out and the desktop site was reported to be mainly for browsing, with trades placed in the app. The international site has the richer toolset, including comments under each market and a public API.

Legality and safety

Polymarket US is regulated by the CFTC, but it's more exposed to state pushback than Kalshi. In October 2026, after a federal appeals court ruled for Ohio, the state's Casino Control Commission ordered it and nine other platforms to stop offering sports contracts to Ohio customers by 16 October. In October 2026 it wasn't offering markets in states including Nevada (court injunction), Maryland, Tennessee and Connecticut, and it didn't offer sports contracts in Arizona.[3] New York sued both Polymarket and Kalshi, alleging unlicensed gambling. Our guide are prediction markets legal? has the full state-by-state picture.

Outside the US, Polymarket is blocked or restricted in several countries. In October 2026 the UK's Financial Conduct Authority confirmed it was in talks with prediction market firms, while warning that some financial contracts look like banned binary options.[4]

How to open an account

  1. Download Polymarket US from the App Store (Android access was rolling out in 2026).
  2. Sign up and confirm you're 18+ in an eligible state.
  3. Verify your identity (KYC is required for all US users).
  4. Fund with ACH, card or Apple Pay.
  5. Trade in dollars — the US app doesn't use crypto.

Support: Support is through the app's help centre. Don't use the international crypto site from the US — see how to use Polymarket from the US.

Polymarket vs the alternatives

  • Kalshi — available in more states, more funding options and full Android and web apps; standard taker fees are now almost identical.
  • PredictIt — the old-school political market; much more expensive.
  • Robinhood — simpler, but a much smaller menu.

Want to use it from the US? Read how to use Polymarket from the US.

Polymarket: our verdict

Polymarket remains the place where the world's political and news bets are made, and the regulated US app finally gives Americans a safe, legal way in, with taker fees now in line with Kalshi's and rebates for makers. It loses points for limited Android and desktop access in the US, for patchier state coverage and for the occasional oracle drama on the international side. For politics fans, it's essential; for everything else, it's a strong second account next to Kalshi.

Not convinced? Compare it with Kalshi, Novig and ForecastEx (Interactive Brokers), or see our full ranking of the best prediction markets.

Polymarket FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in the US?

Yes, through the Polymarket US app, which runs on QCX LLC, a CFTC-designated contract market Polymarket bought in 2025. It's unavailable in some states that have sued or won court orders. The original international crypto site is not open to US residents.

What's the difference between Polymarket and Polymarket US?

Polymarket US is a regulated US exchange with dollar deposits and an iOS app. The international site uses USDC crypto on the Polygon blockchain, isn't CFTC-regulated and blocks US users.

How does Polymarket make money?

Through small trading fees on taker orders. On the US app, makers (resting orders) can earn rebates.

Is Polymarket on Android?

Polymarket US launched on iOS first. By autumn 2026 an Android version was rolling out, with access reported to be gated for some new users, and desktop trading was still limited — check the Google Play listing for your account. The international site works in a mobile browser but isn't open to US residents.

How we checked this review

Checked as of : the licence or regulatory status on the regulator’s own register, the operator’s published terms, fees and availability, and the reports listed under Sources. We did not make test deposits or withdrawals for this review, so payout times are the operator’s stated times, cross-checked against player reports. Our method.

Sources

  1. Polymarket welcomes iOS users to US exchange after shuttering waitlist — SBC Americas, 13 May 2026 ↩
  2. Fee schedule (effective 7 October 2026) — Polymarket US ↩
  3. Are sports prediction markets legal? Status in all 50 states — CBS Sports, 8 October 2026 ↩
  4. Polymarket, Kalshi coming to UK? FCA confirms talks — Yahoo Finance, October 2026 ↩

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